In early May of 2010 natural gas prices started to climb, after reaching a seven year low in April, 2010. Then, an Energy Information Administration report revealed an unexpected rise in natural gas supplies to 2.5 trillion cubic feet in the Lower 48, resulting in a drop in the price of natural gas in early June. Many people predict that natural gas prices have returned to the upslope, while others (oil traders) have no confidence in the market. Oil analyst and trader Stephen Schork says, “It’s just a very scary market.” On the other hand, President Barack Obama and Joe Biden show interest in alternative energy sources, which may lead to higher demand for natural gas supplies. Also, the gulf oil spill and unusual weather patterns may contribute to an increase in demand for natural gas.
Over the past couple of months, gas prices were on a continuous rise. Many factors contributed to this rise. First of all, natural gas supply remained constant while demand increased, resulting in a higher price. While unusually hot temperatures circulated throughout the nation, many households were relying on natural gas to cool their homes. Increased demand associated with a flat rate of supply will cause an increase in price. Also, the disastrous Gulf of Mexico oil spill caused the U.S. government to mandate oil rig shutdowns, which caused a decrease in the commodity’s supply. A decrease in supply associated with an increase in the demand for energy will cause an increase in price as well. Finally, many hedge funds that had been shorting the commodity were also forced to cover their positions by repurchasing shares when prices began to rise.
Although natural gas prices increased, a slight decrease was witnessed in mid June. Natural gas supplies were underestimated, resulting in a price drop. Supply estimates rose to 2.5 trillion due to large findings of natural gas reserves in shale formations. Therefore, the supply estimate is large but the rise in drop in price may not reflect an accurate supply curve. After all, shale gas extraction is very costly and time consuming. Prices fell almost 2% Tuesday on the New York Mercantile Exchange, bringing the cumulative drop to about 8% over the past week of mid June. Whenever supply increases more than demand, a price decrease is followed.
Markets for natural gas hold great potential over the long-term. Various organizations predict that demand for natural gas reserves will increase over the near future. The Gulf of Mexico oil spill may contribute to increased demand for natural gas. Mandatory oil rig shutdowns will tighten energy supplies and may lead to alternative energy source extraction. Increased interest for alternative energy sources may also persuade the U.S. government to implement new alternative energy programs that can lead to increased demand for natural gas as well. Simultaneously, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts that an 85% chance of unusual hurricane type weather may occur. Some of the world’s major oil producers are located in the Atlantic hurricane region, and hurricanes can cause massive oil rig shutdowns, leading to reduced energy supplies. Also, the very same unusual weather patterns may cause increased natural gas demand due to energy consumption (ie. In air-conditioning).
“NATURAL GAS COMPANIES THAT MAY BENEFIT”
Stealth Energy Inc. (SLH)
Stealth Energy Inc. (CNQ:SLH) is a producing oil and gas company with a field office in Billings, Montana, USA. The company has focused much attention on oil producing properties located in Wyoming, and is expecting growth of natural gas extraction in Montana. Engineers have estimated property resources at 7.5 million barrels of oil, and possibly 3 billion cubic feet of natural gas per section. Analyst suggestions place value on Stealth property, making it a substantial energy reservoir within the U.S. Finances generated from high oil prices can provide Stealth Energy with the sufficient resources, enabling continued natural gas production to occur. While natural gas prices remain very low, Stealth can remain confident that demand for natural gas extraction will increase sometime in the near future.
Stealth can extract natural gas using conventional methods, enabling a high rate of production to be achieved. The company can use highly advanced equipment to implement efficient resource extraction and is ready to serve customers in search of a cleaner burning form of domestic energy.
EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG)
EOG Resources, Inc. (NYSE:EOG) is one of the largest natural and gas companies in the U.S.,holding reserves in the U.S., Canada, Trinidad, U.K., and China. These reserves are proved to be an estimated 10,776 billion cubic feet. EOG is similar to Stealth in that company focus is centered on resource extraction, but EOG extraction involves large quantities of shale gas.
Shale gas extraction is difficult and time consuming, resulting in high production costs. The massive reserve estimate that the Energy Information Administration reported at 2.5 trillion cubic feet had consisted of large reserves of shale gas, but since the firm can extract this shale gas using only costly and time consuming methods, the result may be higher natural gas prices.
Baker Hughes (BHI)
Baker Hughes Incorporated (NYSE:BHI) is focused on servicing oilfield companies across the globe, providing products and services to energy companies in 90 countries, and focuses primarily on offshore drilling services. BHI delivers products to companies that will enable less costly and more efficient drilling procedures to be achieved.
The company focuses on servicing many offshore drilling rigs across the nation. Many offshore drilling rigs may experience slow production throughout the hurricane season. The Gulf oil spill may also contribute to loss production as well. BHI is a good company with a good product, but the future for offshore drilling remains uncertain following the oil spill.
